Archive for the ‘Rick Santorum’ Category

If his record as Governor is an indicator, expect a Mitt Romney Presidency to be absolutely awful

By Rick Santorum

Mitt Romney highlights his business experience in the private sector but tries to hide his economic record in the public sector. He was a failed one-term Governor of Massachusetts, and by any objective measure, he would receive an F for his faulty fiscal stewardship there. Indeed, his economic record would not put him in the ring as a featherweight — let alone a lightweight — in any contest.

As heavyweight champ Joe Lewis once said, “He can run, but he can’t hide.” And in Mitt Romney’s case, past performance really does indicate future results. Here’s a start.

D in Spending when graded against other governors according to the 2005 Fiscal Policy Report Card produced by the non-partisan Cato Institute.

F in Job Creation as the Massachusetts state economy ground to a halt with Romney as its steward and ranked 47th out of 50 states.

F in Entitlements and Growing Government as Romney created a brand new entitlement (RomneyCare) and then mandated that all individuals purchase health insurance and all employers with 11 or more employees provide it.

F in Health Insurance Costs as, according to Beacon Hill Institute at Suffolk University in Boston, state health expenditures increased by $414 million, private health insurance costs increased by $4.311 billion, federal Medicaid for Massachusetts increased by $2.418 billion, and Medicare expenditures increased by $1.426 billion for a total increase of $8.569 billion in RomneyCare’s first 5 years.

F on Cap and Trade as he appointed litigation-happy environmentalists to key government jobs, flip-flopped on cap and trade, flip-flopped on carbon taxes, and made the following promise about a coal-fired plant: “I will not create jobs or hold jobs that kill people, and that plant, that plant kills people.”

F on Wall Street Bailouts as he supported giving taxpayers the Wall Street bailout tab –even though they already paid dearly for the abuses and excesses with their retirement savings losses.
F for Raising Taxes as he increased fees and taxes by over $740 million in his only term as governor.

While Mitt Romney could legitimately argue that he should get an A for consistency, his record of economic irresponsibility clearly shows he cannot legitimately argue that he can fix the economy.

As governor of Massachusetts, Romney supported major regulatory expansions in the healthcare environment almost identical to Obama’s unconstitutional overreach.

Romney’s inability to advance economic freedom while Governor of Massachusetts gives little comfort that he will do so as President of the United States.

However, I understand that healthy families and economic freedom go hand in hand, and each reinforces the other. High taxes and massive overregulation hamper economic freedom. Only Washington insiders and crony capitalists benefit from those policies. That’s why as President, from day one I will focus on giving American families the opportunity to thrive in a vibrant economy.

Each element of my vision is tied together by a focus on economic freedom. Here are 5 of its pillars:

Help working families — don’t punish them — through the tax code: I’ll immediately work with Congress to eliminate the marriage tax penalty and triple the personal deduction for children. I’ll also reduce and simplify the system with just two marginal income tax rates of 10% and 28%.

Unleash America’s energy: I’ll immediately approve the Keystone XL Pipeline. It will provide Americans with thousands of truly shovel-ready jobs and transport ethical oil from our Canadian friends. An American President should never again bow before Middle East interests. I will also immediately rescind all Obama EPA regulations that burden the economy by more than $100 million per year.

Reinvigorate America’s competitiveness: I will eliminate the corporate income tax for manufacturing activity and halve it to a flat rate of 17.5% for all others. I will also purge the crony capitalists in Washington and ensure that every American plays on a level economic field. Our Founding Fathers understood that markets should reward those who actually add value to society, not those who gain through political favoritism and back-room deals. Our Republic depends on a fair market system where everyone has equal footing.

Get spending under control: For the past 3 years, American families have been working hard and living with their means. Is it too much to expect Washington to do the same? I will balance the budget in my first term. My budgets will spend less each year than prior years, and I’ll reduce the non-defense-related federal work force by at least10%. I will also call on Congress to pass a balanced-budget amendment to the Constitution.

Repeal and replace ObamaCare: I’ll submit legislation to repeal ObamaCare, and on day one issue an executive order ending related regulatory obligations on the states which was inspired by the freedom offending and health care cost raising RomneyCare. Replacing ObamaCare with the previous system will not suffice. As the father of a large family, I know the trials and tribulations so many undergo when a loved one enters the medical system. I will work with all stakeholders to produce a healthcare system that prioritizes the patient, not the bureaucrats and the moneyed interests behind them.

America’s greatest days can be ahead — if we work together to create an economic system where equal opportunity is provided for all, where everyone’s children can surpass their parents, and where traditional values are rewarded.

We only need the courage to remain true to our Constitution and the principles of freedom and unleash the innovation and potential of the American people.

My Advice to Rick Santorum on Messaging

Dear Rick,

I’m a huge fan of yours. I very want you to be President of the United States.

You are an excellent speaker. Your speeches on caucus and primary nights have been outstanding.

I thought your speech on the night of the Iowa caucuses was one of the best political speeches I can
remember — when you talked about your grandfather’s hands covered with coal dust. You spoke without a teleprompter. And you spoke from the heart.

That was just awesome.

We need a lot more of that.

Of course, you can’t keep giving that same speech over and over again. But stories like that one, that show voters where you come from and who Rick Santorum is are very powerful.

I also love your phrase rebuilding America’s economy “from the bottom up.”

That’s a tremendous theme because a lot of voters are under the misunderstanding that Republicans are for trickle down economics, where the people at the bottom get the crumbs. Your populist “from the bottom” up theme also contrasts well with Mitt Romney’s Wall Street image.

But at times, I think you get trapped by the media into answering horse race and process questions.

Instead of talking about what you want to do for America, you sometimes get sucked into talking about delegate math and your path to the nomination.

Forget all that. And tell your campaign staff and consultants to stop talking about process.

When you are asked questions about the latest polls or the delegate math, pretend you don’t even read the polls or worry about the delegate count.  Just say: “I really don’t focus on any of that. I’ll leave those process and horse race questions for you people in the media to talk about. I just know the more people hear what I have to say, the better I seem to do.  I just figure if people understand my vision and plans for the country, these primaries and caucuses will ultimately take care of themselves. You don’t need a lot of money or an army of consultants and pollsters if you have the right message.”

It’s like a golfer worrying all the time about what his score might be.

Forget the score. Focus on hitting the shot correctly.

And stop hinting that Newt Gingrich should get out of the race.

Newt will do what he wants to do. The more you hint that he should get out, the more likely it is he’ll stay in. You can’t do anything about Newt. Whatever happens there will happen.

Stop whining about the media coverage you’re getting. Of course the media hates you and everything you stand for. Get used to it.

You’ve got to stay focused on what you can do, and that’s get your message out to the voters the best you can.

Forget also about Mitt Romney’s negative ads.

It did not help Bob Dole when he told George H. W. Bush to “stop lying about my record.”

And it doesn’t help you to get down in the mud with Mitt Romney.

Mitt Romney has to go negative because he has no message. He literally stands for nothing.

There’s no there there with Romney. And the voters know it.

He is running a content-free campaign.

Ronald Reagan never talked about polls, or the number of delegates he might win, or anything to do with process or the horse race. Reagan never complained about the media — which was a whole lot worse back then when there was no Rush Limbaugh, no conservative talk radio to speak of, no FOX News, no conservative blogosphere.

But Reagan prevailed anyway.

Reagan always talked about one and only one thing: His vision for the country.

He did not even talk much about his opponents. He would usually say something like: “Some of our Democrat friends say ______________, but we believe_____________.”

He hardly mentioned Jimmy Carter or Walter Mondale.

When he was running against President Ford in 1976 for the GOP nomination, he hardly ever mentioned Ford.

Reagan talked only about his plans for America.

He was the Happy Warrior. Reagan never whined about unfair attacks on him.

So no more answering questions about polls or delegate math. No more getting trapped into answering questions about contraceptives. No more rolling around in the mud with Mitt Romney. No more saying FOX News is “shilling for Mitt Romney.”

Of course they are — always have been, always will.  There’s nothing you can do about that.

Karl Rove is not a political analyst for FOX News and the Wall Street Journal.  He’s a political operative for the Romney campaign and the GOP Establishment.  He’s Mr. GOP Establishment.

Karl Rove is a good man.  But he is what he is.  His candidate is Mitt. Stop complaining about it.

No one cares about this “inside baseball” nonsense anyway. Get out of the weeds.

Talk about the big issues and big themes that voters care about.

Talk about your vision for America.

But overall, you’re doing great.

Ben Hart

Watch Ronald Reagan’s great 1964 “A Time for Choosing Speech” on behalf of Barry Goldwater to see what I’m talking about

This was a speech about big themes and momentous issues — life and death issues, because of the Soviet menace. This was a speech.

And here was Rick’s great speech on Iowa Caucus night

We need a lot more speeches like this one. This is why Rick is connecting with voters.

Is political analysis by Nate Silver of the NYT completely worthless?

Below is a screenshot of Nate Silver’s analysis of Rick Santorum’s chances of winning the Alabama and Mississippi primary contests. Silver’s chart appeared on the same day as these primaries.  Silver put Santorum’s odds of winning Alabama at 9%, his chance of winning Mississippi at 2%.

I usually read Nate Silver to see what he has to say.

His schtick, basically, is to use very scientific-sounding statistical analysis and then to make projections — sort of like what Larry Sabato does.

The problem with Silver’s approach is it’s purely statistical.

But critical to any political analysis is:

1) Political momentum (which candidate is gaining momentum and which candidate is losing momentum); and

2) Which candidate’s message aligns best with the electorate — in this case, conservative Republican primary voters in the South.

If you look only at statistical models (absent of just plain old political horse sense) you arrive at Silver’s conclusions.

But anyone who watches politics can see that a) this supposed frontrunner just isn’t resonating with voters: and b) there’s a fast-closing, though under-funded, challenger who is resonating with voters.

When the political winds shift, it’s very tough to change those winds.

Look what happened to Republicans in 2006 and 2008.

There wasn’t much any of them could do who had the misfortune of representing a swing state or district.

The political winds are clearly blowing against Romney right now. But he does have a lot of money. The question has always been, almost from the start, who would be the most credible not-Romney candidate?

Who would emerge as the strongest unRomney?

That’s clearly now Rick Santorum — as indicated by the fact that Mitt’s negative ads are not working against Rick . . . and by the fact that Rick is consistently outperforming the polls.

Santorum has had two key problems he has had to overcome:

1) Money; and

2) The fact that Newt has been siphoning off conservative votes.

Any casual observer could see that if Rick could at least somewhat solve both these problems Mitt would be in deep trouble — as has proven the case.

Mitt’s big problem is that he has a themeless campaign.

He literally stands for nothing.

Who really knows what Mitt believes?

There’s just no there there. And voters know it.

Mitt could not even muster 60% of the vote in Virginia when the only other candidate on the ballot was Ron Paul (who lately has been garnering 5% of the vote when Rick and Newt are in the race).

That’s how weak Mitt is.

The longer this race goes on, the less Mitt’s money advantage  matters — in part because the voters will have a better sense of who Rick is (so ads will matter less); and in part because Rick’s views are far more aligned with the views of GOP primary voters than are Mitt’s.

This has always been the big threat to Mitt.

He has had trouble getting above 40% of the vote in any contested primary or caucus. His vote percentages have been dropping with each passing week, not rising, despite the fact that the GOP field is half the size it was when this race started.

So Romney has been getting progressively weaker with each passing week, while Rick has been getting stronger.

This is like watching a marathon where the lead runner is on the verge of collapse, barely able to move forward at all, with another runner quickly closing from about a quarter mile behind, but looking very fresh.

The question is: Will the collapsing lead runner slow to such a crawl that the sprinting runner dashes past him like he’s standing still in the final stretch before the finish line?

This is what’s happening to Mitt.

Even the most casual observer of politics should be able to see this — should be able to see this is what’s been going on now for about a month.

Nate Silver seems like a nice enough fellow.  I see him on TV and I’ve been reading his stuff now for quite a while.  He sounds very scientific and academic — very New York Timesish.

But to predict on the same day as these primaries that Rick’s chance of winning Mississippi was 2% and the chance of him winning Alabama was 9% suggests that not much of what Nate Silver has to say is worth the time to read.

That’s why I took the screenshot of his chart.  I knew the instant I saw this chart in advance of these primaries that Silver was going to be not just wrong, but humiliatingly wrong.

Here was my own political analysis three days before these primaries >>>

The delegate math just got worse for Mitt Romney

Mitt Romney told CNN last evening, before the returns started coming in, that Rick Santorum “is at the desperate end of his campaign.”

Uhhh, I don’t think so.

Looks like Santorum’s campaign can now really get started.

With three victories in a row now (Kansas, Alabama, and Mississippi) Santorum is on a roll.

All Team Romney can talk about is their delegate lead. Mitt’s content-free campaign  has no other message, except that his winning the nomination is supposedly inevitable.

Right now Romney has 495 delegates, Santorum 234, Newt 142, Ron Paul 64.

But if you add the not-Romney delegates together, that total is now 440.

Once the not-Romney delegate total moves ahead of the Romney delegate total, Romney can’t clinch the nomination before the convention.

That requires the not-Romneys to collectively gain another 56 delegates on Mitt.

This now looks likely to happen, possibly within the next two weeks.

Rick should now be able to raise enough money to become competitive with Mitt. He’s now the clear conservative alternative to Mitt.

To date, Rick and Newt have been splitting the conservative vote. Had Newt not been in the race, Rick would have also won Michigan and Ohio, where Mitt eeked out victories by the narrowest of margins. Rick also would have won Georgia.

So instead of three victories in a row, Rick would now have six victories in a row.

Newt’s not likely to drop out of the race. But look for most Newt voters to start stampeding to Santorum. If Newt can’t win in his backyard (Alabama and Miss), where can he win?

So Newt should now become mostly a non-factor for Rick.

Conservatives now know that if they want to beat Mitt, they need to vote for Rick and forget about Newt.

If you look at the primary and caucus calendar coming up, it looks very good for Rick.

States where Rick Santorum should do well include: MO (52) LA (46), PA (72), NC (55). WV (31), NE (35), OR (28), KY (45), ARK (36), TX (155), SD (28), MT (26). (Delegates in parens)

Remember, Rick won Missouri’s statewide beauty contest primary last month by a landslide. So he’s likely to win all or almost all that state’s 52 delegates.

Rick should win now in Louisiana. He’ll certainly win Pennsylvania. He should win all those states listed above by wide margins now that Newt is fading to non-factor status.

I also think Rick will do well in Illinois. He might not win. But he might.

He’s campaigning right now in Puerto Rico, so he must think he has a good chance there.

Rick will need to win in Texas (155 delegates).  That now looks likely, as Newt fades.

The two big states that look favorable to Romney are California and New York. But New York awards delegates proportionally. So Santorum should win a lot of delegates upstate and in the rural areas.

And California awards delegates by Congressional district. So Santorum could quite easily win 40% of the delegates in both California and New York state. Even if Santorum wins only 30% of those delegates, that’s still not good for Mitt. We’ll give Romney states like New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Utah, and perhaps New Mexico.

The bottom line: The delegate math is really not looking good at all for Mitt.

Newt, if he stays in the race, will continue to pick up some delegates. Ron Paul will also pick up a few more here and there.

I see very little chance now that Mitt can get the 1,144 delegates he needs to clinch the nomination before the Convention.

But there’s a decent chance Rick could hit that number before the Convention.

Rick is now the one with the wind in his sails.

Forget the Obama Girl. Make way for the Santorum Girls. Great song about what Rick stands for goes viral.

The song ‘Game On’ is performed by sisters Camille and Haley Harris. The rest of the band is made up of Harris family members. Their dad, Reverend David Harris, is the pastor at the Jubilee Christian Center in Tulsa, Oklahoma, where this video was created.  Santorum should ask the Harris family band to follow him for the entire campaign to warm up the crowds for his speeches.

Talk about a contrast in image and message to the sexually vivid “Obama Girl” of 2008!

Santorum is actually doing better with women than men

So much for Rick Santorum’s so-called “woman problem” we keep hearing about. Here are the facts on what’s been actually happening in the elections . . .

So Santorum’s “woman problem” is a complete myth. Women like him.

Wait! No Michigan win for Mitt after all. Rick and Mitt tie in Michigan – 15 delegates each

Iowa Part Deux: This keeps happening — Mitt getting election night media credit for wins he doesn’t end up with

UK GUARDIAN: Mitt Romney’s marginal primary victory in the Michigan has turned out to be a dead heat after the final count showed rival Rick Santorum still won half the state’s delegates.

Romney’s result in the state of his birth lost some of its lustre as it emerged he and Rick Santorum each received 15 delegates. The result, despite Romney winning 41% of the primary vote compared with Santorum’s 38%, came about because Michigan divides up delegates on a proportional basis.

The outcome muddies the race ahead of 10 key state contests next Tuesday.

A win in Michigan had been crucial for Romney, whose father was governor of the state. He had aimed to overcome the religious conservative Santorum by sticking to his core and mainstream Republican message of fixing the economy and reducing unemployment in a country still recovering from the worst recession in decades.

News that Santorum’s narrow loss in Michigan would yield him as many delegates as the winner enabled him to label the result a success on Romney’s home turf, putting some wind in his sails ahead of the big contests next week.

Read more here >>>

Mark Levin’s exposition on Ron Paul’s odd alliance with Mitt Romney and lifelong hatred of conservatives

It’s clear Ron Paul has no intention of winning or even trying to win the GOP nomination. His sole role in the race is to do whatever he can to destroy the lead conservative alternative to Romney .

I’m not a libertarian. I’m a conservative constitutionalist. But I have a lot of sympathy for libertarians. Ron Paul is not a true libertarian. He’s an anarchist.

In fact, Ron Paul and Obama have a lot in common. Both these men really don’t like America very much. Paul’s mentor was Murray Rothbard — an anti-American anarchist. That’s where Ron Paul is coming from. These people don’t even like the Constitution. They favor the Articles of Confederation. They think Abraham Lincoln was evil.

That’s how outside the American tradition Ron Paul really is. As consevative constitutionalists, we should not try to appease him. We should not try to keep in the GOP. We should hope he leaves the GOP and bid him good riddance. He’s a poisonous and destructive force.

MICHIGAN: Santorum and Romney tied

Michigan Republican Presidential Primary PPP (D) Romney 39, Santorum 37, Paul 13, Gingrich 9 Romney +2
Michigan Republican Presidential Primary Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Romney 35, Santorum 37, Paul 8, Gingrich 9 Santorum +2

SOURCE: Real Clear Politics

It looks like Rick Santorum has regained momentum after Mitt Romney took the lead last week.  Santorum is weathering the storm of Romney’s avalanche of nothing but negative ads. Romney leads heavily among those who have already voted, Rick among those who have not yet voted.

Last week Rick was losing support among Tea Partiers and evangelical Christians as Romney’s attack ads caused some to question Santorum’s conservatism.

Imagine that: liberal RINO Mitt attacking Rick for not being conservative enough. But Rick regained the trust of conservatives and evangelicals over the weekend with his solid performances on the Sunday talk shows. Conservatives are moving quickly back into Rick’s camp.

I think Rick might just pull this out. Romney has no message. All he can do his attack with his huge money advantage.

What’s refreshing is the negative ads from Mitt don’t seem to be working as well this time, as they did against Newt. It looks like Rick has staying power with conservatives. We know who the conservative is and who the liberal is in this race.

If Mitt manages to squeak out a narrow victory in his home state against an under-funded candidate in Rick Santorum, that will still be a devastating defeat for Mitt. Delegates in Michigan are awarded by Congressional district.  Whatever the final vote tally, both candidates will likely roughly split the delegates in Michigan.  Romney will carry the suburbs of Detroit. Rick will win everything else.

But also remember what happened in Colorado. Mitt had a big polling advantage there , but Rick ended up winning the state by 6 points. No one gave Rick any chance at all in Colorado. Rick also won by much bigger margins than the polls anticipated in Missouri and Minnesota. So I have a feeling the polls might be under-reporting Rick’s true strength. There seems to be a hidden Santorum vote out there.

I think we just might see Santorum, once again, produce results 10 points better than he’s now polling. He might even make it close in Arizona.

Listen to Mark Levin ask: “What has Romney promised Ron Paul?”

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